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Stock Market for the Coming Year

As a small business loan broker I speak to many business borrowers who have been and are concerned with the direction of the economy. They are afraid to hire people and expand their business, therefore are holding their borrowing to a minimum. Steve Forbes is predicting a recession for 2013.

Having said that however I spoke to a leading Security Analyst today who made the following comments: Stopping the Bush tax cuts could restrict GDP growth up to 2%, however he expects both parties to come to terms before we fall off the fiscal cliff. With large corporate balance sheets OK he expects that with the world economy still growing and expanding and a Republican HR restricting many drastic changes (grid lock being good for the market), that the stock market will be up in 2013. Of course what are worrisome possibilities are the "fiscal Cliff", the events in Europe, the job market, workforce growth not yet clearing the increase in population growth and our GDP growth. On the positive side large corporations will be investing their excess cash (corporate balance sheets are good and are growing by high single digits).

His investment portfolio will show and overweight in U.S. stocks and especially technology and an underweight in European stocks and especially Financials due to over regulation.

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About the Author

William Morgenstein, Marquesa Funding & Consulting Corp
Lake Worth, FL 33467

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